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This copy of the Report below by the late Dr George Howatt, which was tabled in the Tasmanian House of Assembly in 1979, was digitized, with hyperlinks added, by the Proportional Representation Society of Australia in 2003, from a copy kindly obtained from the Library of the Parliament of Tasmania by the Honourable Neil Robson - formerly one of the 7 Members for Bass, and a Tasmanian Government Minister. |
VOTING BY PARTY DIRECTION OR FREE CHOICE? | |
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324.946
HOW COPY 1 |
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In any system of Parliamentary government, an important
criterion of
the performance of the electoral method used is the extent to which it
succeeds in providing effective representation of the people. The
Universal
Declaration of Human Rights refers to government by freely chosen
representatives
as being essential if the right of people to take part in government is
to be realized. A consistent feature of elections of the Tasmanian
House
of Assembly with the Hare-Clark method has been that, with a wide
choice
of candidates, a very high proportion of voters has seen the election
of
the candidate they have chosen. The performance of the Hare-Clark
method
has contrasted strongly with the single-member-district methods in use
for Lower House elections in the other Australian States and for
election
of the Federal House of Representatives. These elections regularly
leave
almost half of the voters nominally represented by people whom they
have
rejected.
With these elections, the practice of parties issuing 'how-to-vote' instructions is firmly established. The combination of this practice with the use of single-member districts has had many unfortunate results, probably the most serious being that candidates and Members of Parliament are strongly encouraged by the system to be concerned about the views of the few people who control party endorsements rather than those of the voters. The Provisions for elections of the Federal Senate are much more satisfactory than those for the House of Representatives or for State Lower Houses other than the Tasmanian House of Assembly. Being designed to give proportional representation, the method used in Senate elections at least ensures that parties are represented approximately in proportion to the voting support they receive. |
CONTENTS | ||
Foreword | ii | |
Contents | iv | |
Author's Preface | - Acknowledgments | v |
PART I. | INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE OF REPORT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . | 1 |
PART II.. | WHY SENATE-STYLE REGIMENTED VOTING DISTORTS THE PROPORTIONALITY OF ELECTION RESULTS, THEREBY PENALIZING THE MAJOR PARTIES THAT PRACTISE IT, RESULTING IN THE OVER-REPRESENTATION OF MINORITY PARTIES OR GROUPS, THUS INEVITABLY WEAKENING THE TWO-PARTY SYSTEM AND INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD OF INSTABILITY IN PARLIAMENT | 6 |
Figures 1 and 2 - Senate elections | ||
Fig. 1. Tasmania, 1961 | 10 | |
Fig. 2. Queensland, 1964 | 12 | |
Figures 3 - 5: Tasmanian House of Assembly Elections | ||
Fig. 3 Franklin, 1972 | 14 | |
Fig. 4 Franklin, 1959 | 16 | |
Fig. 5 Denison, 1976 | 18 | |
PART III. | SUBJECTS FOR FURTHER CONSIDERATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . | 19 |
PART IV. | SUMMATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . | 21 |
PART V. | APPENDICES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . | 23 |
Contents of Appendices | 23 | |
Appendix A | 24 | |
Appendix B | 28 | |
Appendix C | 31 | |
Appendix D | 34 | |
Appendix E | 40 |
AUTHOR'S PREFACE - ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
Although the writer will save most of his prefatory remarks
for the
final report, his appreciation to those noted below is so great that
acknowledgment
of their invaluable advice and assistance cannot be postponed:
J.F.H. Wright, B.Sc., President of the N.S.W. Branch of the Proportional Representation of Australia. C.G. Ball, Returning Officer for Tasmanian House of Assembly elections and Commonwealth Divisional Returning Officer for Denison K. F. Febey, State Chief Electoral Officer of Tasmania.
The writer of course is solely responsible for the views in the report. |
George Howatt,
Special Research Fellow, Department of Political Science. |
The University of Tasmania,
June, 1979. |
PART 1. INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE OF REPORT. |
To assess the method commonly known as "Senate-style regimented voting". |
1. Prefatory note.
This report is the outgrowth of a recommendation by Mr. Neil Robson, M.H.A., to Premier Lowe that the writer be requested to prepare a report for Parliament analysing and assessing Electoral Bill (No. 2) 1977 (viz., the Robson bill), which provides for the rotational printing of candidates' names on ballot--papers for Tasmanian State elections. Obviously, there are various ways of deciding how names should be placed on ballot-papers - for example, according to the alphabetical order of surnames or by lot; this latter method, now used in Tasmania, superseded the former and was used for House of Assembly elections for the first time in 1976. The various alternatives to the Robson bill need to be examined before the bill itself can be assessed properly. One alternative which has been mentioned by some as a possibility is the method used by the major political parties and others for (a) determining the position of candidates' names within groups on the ballot-paper for Senate elections and (b) for directing electoral support to particular candidates. 2. What is the Senate method? In effect, the method empowers the management of the contesting parties, firstly, to list the names of its candidates on the ballot-paper in whatever order it wishes (irrespective of specific criteria such as alphabetical order or drawing by lot) and then to so advise the electoral authorities. Secondly, party management then issues "how-to-vote cards with specific preference numbers printed beside the names of the various candidates. Party management then appeals to its electoral supporters (through the distribution of these cards at Polling booths and by advertising them in the press and elsewhere) to copy onto their ballot-papers the numbers exactly as they appear on the how-to-vote cards. The parties under this system are in effect saying to their potential supporters "Please take our voting card, but don't think for yourselves; merely copy as we have directed, without any selection on your part, the preference numbers onto your ballot-paper precisely as the numbers appear on our card". |
- 2 - |
These political parties, which are privately controlled
organizations
not elected by the public (and hence perhaps not even representative of
it) do not consult the public in choosing the candidates they endorse -
thereby presenting the risk of offering candidates not representative
of
their supporters. The effect of the inability to consult the public in
selecting candidates (obviously not an easy task) could be offset
considerably
by offering the voters a wide choice of candidates; this idea need not
be a dream, but a reality, and in fact is done regularly in Tasmania
for
electing the House of Assembly and, in a somewhat corresponding way,
the
Legislative Council.
However, the political parties in Senate elections (in contrast to the model furnished by Assembly elections in Tasmania) do not offer a wide choice of candidates, but instead restrict the choice to a minimum, namely, to only three candidates even in the case of the major parties, where there are, nevertheless, five vacancies to fill. In effect, the controllers of these parties say to their supporters, "We'll offer you fewer candidates than there are vacancies to fill, thus reducing to the lowest limit the number of choices we make available to you, even though the electoral system readily enables a party to give its supporters a wide choice of candidates". In short, party management in Senate contests is saying to the voters "We don't want you to think for yourselves; instead we only want you to be ciphers for us, in order to copy down numbers according to our directions". (1) |
(1) Voters who have not experienced the opportunity enjoyed by Tasmanians of selecting their own choices from a wide range of candidates offered by their party may not, understandably, realize how extremely restrictive the Senate system is, compared with the Tasmanian-pioneered method, called the "Hare-Clark system", used to elect its lower house, called the House of Assembly. In these Hare-Clark elections the voters mark their own choices freely, as they please, without any direction from the party they support. |
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3. Though faulty even for Senate Elections, the
regimenting of voters
by means of numbered party tickets would be both extremely undesirable
and impractical for Hare-Clark elections.
Such a method is highly undesirable even for Senate elections as will be explained in the final report. However, since elections for the Tasmanian House of Assembly are conducted on a far higher plane and in a very different manner from Senate elections, these differences would make Senate-style tickets both impractical and most undesirable for electing Members to the Assembly, as will be detailed in the final report. This final report will further point out how attempts to apply Senate-style regimented voting to Assembly elections also would jeopardize (if not rupture from the start) the continuance of the two-party system in Tasmania, the stable functioning of Parliament, and the control - strong and healthy - (as compared with other States and nations) which the voting public in Tasmania now exercises over its Parliament - a control unique in its excellence. Further, the final report will explain how this precious heritage special to Tasmania - and which could serve, if known, as an urgently needed model for the rest of the world - would be severely damaged, if not destroyed, by the introduction of Senate-style regimented voting for Assembly elections. (2) |
(2) Although
examining the subject of Senate-style tickets needs to refer from time
to time to certain features of the Hare-Clark method, space does not
permit,
nor would it be germane, in this paper to attempt an evaluation or
appreciation
of this special system, which is unique in the manner in which it is
applied
in Tasmania.
Readers wishing a few words of assessment of the system, such as can be covered in a brief newspaper article, could refer to Appendix E of this paper. A longer, but still very summarized assessment, may be found in Tasmanian Parliamentary Paper No. 22 of 1958, by the writer entitled Democratic Representation under the Hare-Clark System. |
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4. Some factors which have contributed to the writer's
conclusions.
The writer is deeply proud to be regarded as a fervent admirer of the Tasmanian-pioneered Hare-Clark system, motivated by his belief that the inherent features of this special method could solve problems of representation in many lands, thereby enabling these States and nations to meet the challenges of change, to respond to the needs of their people, and solve problems which at present seem to be increasing in almost all countries. Nevertheless, the writer's admiration and support for the Hare-Clark system has not blinded him from seeing ways in which the application of Hare-Clark principles could be refined and strengthened. Evidence of his wish not only to commend the Hare-Clark system but also to seek improvements in applying its principles could be demonstrated in many ways. One is to note the appearance of the twenty-one articles listed below, published by "The Mercury", all of them written to advocate adoption of some refinement to improve the system; this and other evidence do not show complacent and uncritical admiration of all aspects of the way the Hare-Clark system is at present applied. The writer has undertaken various major research projects on electoral systems, including, for example, a Ph.D. thesis for the University of Tasmania focussed on the Hare-Clark system. Years of research and thought on electoral systems and practices leave the writer with no doubt that the use of numbered how-to-vote cards by political parties is unqualifiedly undesirable and would be a most retrograde step, for reasons which the final report will set out. |
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PART II - WHY SENATE-STYLE REGIMENTED VOTING DISTORTS THE PROPORTIONALITY OF ELECTION RESULTS, THEREBY PENALIZING THE MAJOR PARTIES THAT PRACTISE IT, RESULTING IN THE OVER-REPRESENTATION OF MINORITY PARTIES OR GROUPS,THUS INEVITABLY WEAKENING THE TWO-PARTY SYSTEM AND INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD OF INSTABILITY IN PARLIAMENT. |
Regimented voting, Senate-style reduces the equity of
election results
by distorting the proportionality of the election outcome; such regimentation
can and does result in some parties, namely, the larger ones, receiving
fewer seats when on a proportional basis, they are entitled to more
seats.
Conversely, such regimentation can and does give smaller parties or
groups
more seats than they would be entitled to on a proportional
basis.
In short, regimented voting, Senate-style can under-represent the parties supported by the greater number of voters and over-represent the parties or groups attracting less support. The fact that such regimentation does under-represent the major parties and over-represent minor ones can be seen clearly from examples cited here in Part II. More will be cited in the final report. Under the time-tested Hare-Clark feature of giving the voters a free selection of candidates, the larger parties gain their fair share of the seats while not depriving any eligible minority of their fair share also. If any party or group obtains a full quota, or close enough to a full quota, it will win a seat as it is justly entitled to, under Senate or Hare-Clark conditions. However, suppose no party has sufficient votes (in primaries plus possible accumulated preferences) to fill a quota for the last seat to be filled - a common enough situation: who is entitled to that seat when two or more have partial quotas but not full ones? Under usual Hare-Clark conditions this problem is answered easily and naturally enough (as regards the vacancies within an electorate) - namely, by the rule of the order of elimination of candidates. In practice, owing to the fact that candidates, in the absence of numbered how-to-vote cards, seek support as individual persons, there is a natural spread of support (in primary votes and preferences) over many candidates. When surplus votes are transferred, as well as the preferences of excluded candidates, the votes normally are distributed - owing to absence of numbered how-to-vote cards - over the range of the continuing candidates. |
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As a result the voting support for a given party tends to be
spread
over several candidates (the number varying of course according to the
stage of the scrutiny process). In practice, therefore, under usual
Hare-Clark
conditions, the size of a party's vote will determine the order of
elimination
of candidates and thereby the number of quotas filled and seats
won.
Under usual Hare-Clark conditions the final seat in an electorate will be won by the party which shows the highest average no. of votes per candidate at the time of the last exclusion. In other words, when voters are given the opportunity, as provided by existing Hare-Clark conditions, to select candidates freely as they choose, a normal spreading of support for a party's candidates occurs, being reflected in a well-spread primary vote or, as the case may be, during the distribution of surplus votes. An equitable criterion for allocating Parliamentary seats is that the members of Parliament should be elected in proportion, as nearly as possible, to the number of votes of their supporters. The Hare-Clark system, which allows a natural spread of support as a result of the free, undirected marking of choices by the voters, normally meets this criterion when filling the vacancies of a given electorate. In contrast, the Senate practice of electing candidates, based upon regimenting the vote by means of party how-to-vote cards, has an in-built feature which distorts this criterion. In practice, and conspicuously so in the Mainland States, the No. 1 candidate of each party is elected with a huge, abnormal surplus, which is passed on to the No. 2 candidate who is also elected with a surplus. This means, in the usual 5-vacancy Senate election, that the No. 3 candidate of the party is left with many fewer votes than if his party's vote were more evenly spread over all its candidates. As a consequence, the No. 3 candidate of each or both parties is left in a weaker position. As regards major parties, spreading the vote (as occurs in Hare-Clark practice) conserves their voting strength by enabling their candidates to stay in the count longer, thereby increasing their chances of winning more seats, namely, winning -the number which their vote would, on a proportional basis, entitle them to. |
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In contrast, the Senate practice of regimenting the vote,
resulting
in huge surpluses for candidate No. 1 and No. 2 on the party ticket,
leaves
its No. 3 candidate in a weakened position "starving" for votes which
have
been denied to No. 3 because of the effect of the regimented ticket. As
a consequence the major parties have frequently lost the last seat to a
minor party or Independent candidate even though they had obtained
sufficient
support for electing all their three candidates if normal Hare-Clark
conditions
had applied, as illustrated in Figures 1 and 2. In Figures 1 and 2 if
the
seats had divided, in both examples, 3 to 2 instead of 2-2-l, it would
have been a more equitable result since, at the stage of the last
exclusion,
the average vote for the candidates of both major parties exceeded the
total for the minor party or Independent.
In these cases both major parties were more entitled, on a proportional basis, to the seat, won by the minor party or Independent. In other words, both major parties forfeited an opportunity to win an additional seat by wasting their strength, through regimented voting, with huge surpluses for ?rds of their candidates while the other ?rd was forced, unnecessarily by normal Hare-Clark practice, into elimination. Senate-style regimented voting therefore not only deprives, in practice, the elector of a free choice of candidates, it also can, and frequently does, deprive the supporters of major parties of the additional seats to which they would be entitled on a more fairly proportional basis. For a variety of reasons., some of them given in the appendices, the functioning of the Senate would be improved incomparably by the adoption of Hare-Clark practice in electing it. Conversely, the use of Senate-style regimented voting would produce disastrous consequences if used for electing the Tasmanian House of Assembly, for reasons noted in this interim report plus those to be covered in the final report. |
TASMANIAN SENATE ELECTIONS 1961 | |
FIG. 1-A. REGIMENTED VOTING CAUSES A LESS PROPORTIONAL RESULT. | |
THIS FIGURE SHOWS THE ACTUAL RESULT UNDER THE EXISTING SYSTEM OF SENATE-STYLE REGIMENTED VOTING: NAMELY, A 2-2-1 DIVISION OF SEATS (2 LIB, 2 ALP, 1 INDEPENDENT) | Click here to compare to 1-B. |
Quota = 26,641 | |
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BECAUSE OF
REGIMENTED VOTING EACH MAJOR PARTY ELECTED 2 CANDIDATES EACH WITH FULL QUOTAS, THUS LEAVING THEIR THIRD CANDIDATES WITH FEWER VOTES THAN IF THE PARTY VOTE HAD BEEN SPREAD OVER ITS 3 CANDIDATES. |
(EACH COLUMN REPRESENTS THE NO. OF VOTES RECEIVED BY THE RESPECTIVE CANDIDATES) | |
AS THE THIRD CANDIDATE OF THE ALP GROUP (MR. DEVITT) HAD THE LEAST NUMBER OF VOTES, HE WAS EXCLUDED, AND HIS PREFERENCES ELECTED THE INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE, DR. TURNBULL. |
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This Figure 1-A was digitized by the Proportional Representation Society of Australia in 2003, from Dr Howatt's Report, from a copy kindly obtained from the Library of the Parliament of Tasmania by Hon. Neil Robson. |
TASMANIAN SENATE ELECTIONS 1961 | |
FIG. 1-B. AN EVENLY SPREAD VOTE WOULD HAVE RESULTED IN A MORE PROPORTIONAL DIVISION OF SEATS. | |
THIS FIGURE SHOWS THE RESULT IF THE VOTES FOR THE MAJOR PARTIES WERE EVENLY SPREAD AMONG THEIR CANDIDATES: NAMELY, 3 TO 2 (3 ALP AND 2 LIB) |
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IF THE VOTE OF A PARTY WERE SPREAD EVENLY OVER ITS 3 CANDIDATES, ALL WOULD BE AHEAD OF THE INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE. |
(EACH COLUMN REPRESENTS THE NO. OF VOTES RECEIVED BY THE RESPECTIVE CANDIDATES) | |
AS THE CANDIDATE WITH THE LEAST VOTES, IS NOW THE INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE, DR. TURNBULL, HE WOULD BE EXCLUDED, HIS PREFERENCES THEN DECIDING THE 5TH SEAT. (SEE TEXT FOR FURTHER EXPLANATION AND FOR REASONS WHY, IN THIS EXAMPLE, A 3-2 DIVISION OF SEATS WOULD BE MORE EQUITABLE THAN A 2-2-1 RESULT). |
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This Figure 1-B was digitized by the Proportional Representation Society of Australia in 2003, from Dr Howatt's Report, from a copy kindly obtained from the Library of the Parliament of Tasmania by Hon. Neil Robson. |
QUEENSLAND SENATE ELECTIONS 1964 | |
FIG. 2-A. REGIMENTED VOTING CAUSES A LESS PROPORTIONAL RESULT. | |
THIS FIGURE SHOWS THE ACTUAL RESULT UNDER THE EXISTING SYSTEM OF SENATE-STYLE REGIMENTED VOTING: NAMELY, A 2-2-1 DIVISION OF SEATS (2 LCP, 2 ALP, 1 DLP) |
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(EACH COLUMN REPRESENTS THE NO. OF VOTES RECEIVED BY THE RESPECTIVE CANDIDATES) | |
AS THE THIRD CANDIDATE OF THE LCP GROUP HAD THE LEAST NUMBER OF VOTES, HE WAS EXCLUDED, AND HIS PREFERENCES ELECTED THE DLP CANDIDATE, MR. GAIR |
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This Figure 2-A was digitized by the Proportional Representation Society of Australia in 2003, from Dr Howatt's Report, from a copy kindly obtained from the Library of the Parliament of Tasmania by Hon. Neil Robson. |
QUEENSLAND SENATE ELECTIONS 1964 | |
FIG. 2-B. AN EVENLY SPREAD VOTE WOULD HAVE RESULTED IN A MORE PROPORTIONAL DIVISION OF SEATS. | |
THIS FIGURE SHOWS THE RESULT IF THE VOTES FOR THE MAJOR PARTIES WERE EVENLY SPREAD AMONG THEIR CANDIDATES: NAMELY, 3 TO 2 (3 LCP AND 2 ALP) |
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IF THE VOTES OF THE MAJOR PARTIES WERE SPREAD EVENLY OVER THEIR CANDIDATES, ALL OF THEM WOULD BE AHEAD OF THE DLP CANDIDATE. |
(EACH COLUMN REPRESENTS THE NO. OF VOTES RECEIVED BY THE RESPECTIVE CANDIDATES) | |
AS THE CANDIDATE WITH THE LEAST VOTES IS NOW THE DLP CANDIDATE, MR. GAIR, HE WOULD BE EXCLUDED, HIS PREFERENCES THEN DETERMINING WHICH PARTY WOULD WIN THE 5TH SEAT. (SEE TEXT FOR FURTHER DETAIL AND FOR REASONS WHY, IN THIS EXAMPLE, A 3-2 DIVISION OF SEATS WOULD BE MORE EQUITABLE THAN A 2-2-1 RESULT). |
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This Figure 2-B was digitized by the Proportional Representation Society of Australia in 2003, from Dr Howatt's Report, from a copy kindly obtained from the Library of the Parliament of Tasmania by Hon. Neil Robson. |
TASMANIAN HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS - FRANKLIN 1972 | |
FIG. 3-A. A FREE SELECTION OF CANDIDATES LEADS TO A FAIRER, MORE PROPORTIONAL RESULT. | |
THIS
GRAPH SHOWS
THE ACTUAL RESULT UNDER EXISTING HARE-CLARK FEATURES:
NAMELY, A 4-3 DIVISION OF SEATS (4 ALP, 3 LIB) |
Click here to compare to 3-B. |
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CANDIDATES:-
LIB. 1 - BEATTIE 2 - CLARK 3 - PEARSALL UTG - BROWN ALP 1 - BARNARD 2 - DAVIDSON 3 - FROST 4 - LOWE 5 - NEILSON |
(EACH COLUMN REPRESENTS THE NO. OF VOTES RECEIVED BY EACH CANDIDATE) | |
AS THE UTG (UNITED TASMANIA GROUP) CANDIDATE, DR. BOB BROWN, HAD THE LEAST NUMBER OF VOTES HE WAS EXCLUDED AND HIS PREFERENCES, WHICH STRONGLY FAVOURED THE LIBERAL PARTY, LED TO THE ELECTION OF 3 LIB. CANDIDATES. |
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This Figure 3-A was digitized by the Proportional Representation Society of Australia in 2003, from Dr Howatt's Report, from a copy kindly obtained from the Library of the Parliament of Tasmania by Hon. Neil Robson. |
TASMANIAN HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS - FRANKLIN, 1972 | |
FIG.
3-B.
SENATE-STYLE REGIMENTED VOTING
WOULD
HAVE CAUSED A
LESS PROPORTIONAL, LESS FAIR RESULT. |
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THIS GRAPH SHOWS HOW, IF A SENATE-STYLE TICKET HAD BEEN FOLLOWED, THE ACTUAL RESULT OF 4-3 WOULD HAVE BEEN CHANGED TO 4-2-1 (4 ALP, 2 LIB + 1 UTG) |
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CANDIDATES:-
LIB. 1 - BEATTIE 2 - CLARK 3 - PEARSALL UTG - BROWN ALP 1 - BARNARD 2 - DAVIDSON 3 - FROST 4 - LOWE 5 - NEILSON |
EACH COLUMN SHOWS THE NO. OF VOTES FOR THE RESPECTIVE CANDIDATES. | |
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UNDER SENATE-STYLE REGIMENTED VOTING THE CONCENTRATION OF PRIMARY VOTES ON THE FIRST-LISTED LIB. CANDIDATE, WITH A CONCENTRATION OF PREFERENCES FLOWING TO THE 2ND. LIB. WOULD LEAVE FEWER VOTES FOR THE THIRD LIB. THE 3RD. LIB WOULD THEN HAVE FEWER VOTES THAT THE UTG (UNITED TASMANIA GROUP) CANDIDATE. (SEE TEXT FOR FURTHER EXPLANATIONS AND FOR REASONS WHY A 4-3 DIVISION, AS IN FACT OCCURRED UNDER NON-REGIMENTED VOTING, IS A MORE EQUITABLE RESULT THAN 3-3-1.) |
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This Figure 3-B was digitized by the Proportional Representation Society of Australia in 2003, from Dr Howatt's Report, from a copy kindly obtained from the Library of the Parliament of Tasmania by Hon. Neil Robson. |
TASMANIAN HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS - FRANKLIN 1959 | |
FIG. 4-A. A FREE SELECTION OF CANDIDATES LEADS TO A FAIRER, MORE PROPORTIONAL RESULT. | |
THIS
GRAPH SHOWS
THE ACTUAL RESULT UNDER EXISTING HARE-CLARK FEATURES:
NAMELY, A 4-3 DIVISION OF SEATS (4 LIB, AND 3 ALP) |
Click here to compare to 4-B. |
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CANDIDATES:-
ALP 1 - BARNARD 2 - BROOKER 3 - DWYER 4 - NEILSON LIB. 1 - JACKSON 2 - MILLER 3 - PEARSALL 4 - YOUNG |
(EACH COLUMN REPRESENTS THE NO. OF VOTES RECEIVED BY EACH CANDIDATE) | |
AS THE DLP CANDIDATE HAD THE LEAST NUMBER OF VOTES HE WAS EXCLUDED, AND HIS PREFERENCES, WHICH STRONGLY FAVOURED THE LIBERALS, ENABLED THEM (BY WINNING THE LAST SEAT NARROWLY) TO GAIN 4 SEATS TO LABOR'S 3). |
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This Figure 4-A was digitized by the Proportional Representation Society of Australia in 2003, from Dr Howatt's Report, from a copy kindly obtained from the Library of the Parliament of Tasmania by Hon. Neil Robson. |
TASMANIAN HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS - FRANKLIN, 1959 | |
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FIG. 4-B. SENATE-STYLE REGIMENTED VOTING WOULD HAVE CAUSED A LESS PROPORTIONAL, LESS FAIR RESULT. | |
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THIS GRAPH SHOWS HOW, IF A SENATE-STYLE TICKET HAD BEEN FOLLOWED, THE ACTUAL RESULT OF 4-3 WOULD HAVE BEEN CHANGED TO 3-3-1 (LIB. AND ALP 3 SEATS EACH + 1 DLP) |
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THE RELATIONSHIP OF THE CANDIDATES CONCERNED IS SET OUT BELOW, WITH THE VOTES ALLOCATED AS THEY WOULD BE IF SENATE-STYLE TICKETS HAD BEEN FOLLOWED:- | Quota = 4,014 |
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(EACH COLUMN SHOWS THE NO. OF VOTES FOR THE RESPECTIVE CANDIDATES) | |
IN THE ACTUAL ELECTION, WHEN NUMBERED CARDS WERE NOT USED AND AS A RESULT THE VOTE WAS NOT REGIMENTED, THE DLP CANDIDATE BECOMES LOWEST IN VOTES AND IS EXCLUDED AS SEEN IN FIG. 4-A. HOWEVER, IF THE VOTE IS CONCENTRATED, AS NECESSARILY HAPPENS IF SENATE-STYLE TICKETS ARE USED, THE FIRST 2 LIB. CANDIDATES ARE ELECTED WITH FULL QUOTAS, AS SEEN ABOVE, THUS NECESSARILY LEAVING FEWER VOTES FOR THE 4TH. LIB. CANDIDATE, WHOSE VOTE FALLS BELOW THAT OF THE DLP CANDIDATE. THE LIB. CANDIDATE IS THEREFORE EXCLUDED, AND HIS PREFERENCES WOULD ELECT THE DLP CANDIDATE, PRODUCING A 3-3-1 OUTCOME. (SEE TEXT FOR FURTHER PARTICULARS AND FOR REASONS WHY A 4-3 DIVISION OF SEATS IS A MORE EQUITABLE REFLECTION OF THE POLLING THAN A 3-3-1 RESULT.) |
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This Figure 4-B was digitized by the Proportional Representation Society of Australia in 2003, from Dr Howatt's Report, from a copy kindly obtained from the Library of the Parliament of Tasmania by Hon. Neil Robson. |
TASMANIAN HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS - DENISON 1976 | |||
FIG.
5. EXAMPLE OF A PARTY WITH
FEWER
VOTES WINNING MORE SEATS
BECAUSE ITS VOTE WAS MORE EVENLY SPREAD THAN ITS RIVAL. |
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THE VOTES FOR THE RESPECTIVE CANDIDATES AT THE END OF THE SCRUTINY WERE AS FOLLOWS: | |||
GROUP
A
LIB. GROUP TOTAL 22,716 |
GROUP
C
ALP GROUP TOTAL 22,804 |
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CANDIDATES:-
LIB. 1 - BINGHAM 2 - ROBINSON 3 - MATHER 4 - BAKER ALP 1 - BATT 2 - GASCOIGNE 3 - AMOS 4 - GREEN |
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THE ALP WAS DISADVANTAGED BECAUSE ITS VOTE WAS MORE CONCENTRATED THAN THE LIBERALS! THOUGH PARTY TOTALS WERE ONLY MARGINALLY DIFFERENT, A SLIGHTLY GREATER CONCENTRATION IN THE ALP VOTE WAS ENOUGH FOR IT NOT TO WIN THE SEVENTH SEAT. WITH SENTATE-TYPE TICKETS, THE CONCENTRATION OF VOTES BY THE PARTY USING THEM WOULD BE MASSIVE, IN COMPARISON WITH THIS, AND WOULD BE A REGULAR, INEVITABLE OCCURRENCE, NOT AN EXCEPTIONAL INCIDENT, AS IN THIS EXAMPLE. (SEE TEXT FOR FURTHER EXPLANATION.) |
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This Figure 5 was digitized by the Proportional Representation Society of Australia in 2003, from Dr Howatt's Report, from a copy kindly obtained from the Library of the Parliament of Tasmania by Hon. Neil Robson. |
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PART III - SUBJECTS FOR FURTHER CONSIDERATION | |
1.
2.
3.
4.
6. |
Why the problems of deciding an order for recommending
candidates are
insuperable. For example, what would be the criteria? - preference for
Ministers because of their administrative knowledge? preference to
those
who have served longest in Parliament, in recognition of this
experience?
- a position high enough on the party list to guarantee the election of
a woman member? or a new member? or the representative of an ethnic
group?
or one to represent a specific geographic area? etc. The list of
possible
criteria and considerations is endless, and can be solved best only by
the way, it is decided now - by the free choice of the voters.
Why the problems of applying how-to-vote cards in Senate and House of Assembly elections are quite dissimilar. As one example, in a Senate election the three candidates for the major parties can perhaps justifiably see the possibility or hope of winning all 3 seats. In a Hare-Clark election however, with many more endorsements, a how-to-vote card, if followed, would ensure victory for some and certain defeat for others. Possible reactions of members of Parliament in a closely balanced house if they were placed low on a how-to-vote card. Would they be so disillusioned as to contemplate forcing a premature election? Would some prominent members with popular support outside their political party be urged by their friends to stand as Independents rather hold a losing position on a party ticket? And by doing so perhaps even hold the balance of power after the ensuing election? Would how-to-vote cards create internal factions within the political parties resulting in less unified strength? Would numbered tickets be viewed as weakening the public accountability of Members of Parliament? Now, though pre-selected by private organizations all members owe their election to a free vote of the people, not to a favoured place on the ballot-paper. What effect would the use of numbered how-to-vote cards have on the activities of candidates and political parties in their campaigns, e.g., it remove the incentive of those placed low on the how-to-vote cards to work vigorously? |
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When the number of members per House of Assembly electorate
was increased
from six to seven in 1958, (which change meant that the parties would
need
to consider increasing the number of endorsements from six, the usual
number
then, to seven or eight candidates per electorate), there was some talk
in a few circles that Tasmania should follow the regimented voting
style
used for Senate elections.
For various reasons (some of them given in the article which follows) the writer considered the suggestion of following this Senate practice a very retrograde idea, and wrote this article in the hope of showing that instead of adopting Senate practice for Hare-Clark elections, the practice of regimenting the voters should be dropped and replaced, instead, by the Hare-Clark method of allowing the voters to select candidates as they pleased, without the use of numbered tickets. The writer showed the draft of the article to recently retired Premier Cosgrove, who read it and said he had no alterations to suggest. Re the idea of using regimented tickets for Hare-Clark elections [which of course are quite different from Senate contests in that considerably more candidates need to be endorsed by a party for Hare-Clark elections than it can hope to elect] Sir Robert Cosgrove rejected it emphatically and without hesitation said, "With Senate-style regimented voting the first three candidates on a ticket wouldn't need to work [since they would be elected anyway, if the ticket were followed] and the last three or four candidates (depending on whether seven or eight were endorsed by the party) wouldn't have any real incentive to work, since they would have no chance of being elected. Besides, the rivalry among candidates and their supporters for a winnable place on the ticket would result in such in-fighting within the party both before and after the nominations that the whole idea of using numbered cards was a sure way to put the cat among the pigeons". (The complete statement by former Premier Cosgrove will be included in the final report). The article entitled "HARE-CLARK REMEDY FOR DEFECTS IN SENATE VOTING" follows:- |
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The Senate elections have again revealed, especially on the
Mainland,
serious defects in an otherwise excellent electoral system. These could
be remedied by adopting features from the Tasmanian-pioneered
Hare-Clark
model.
Although the method for electing the Senate has many points of similarity with the Hare-Clark system, it falls short of the Hare-Clark standard in several important ways These defects in the Senate system include the compulsory marking of preferences for all candidates. This, a carry-over from the former, non-proportional method of preferential block voting is not necessary. It is a senseless provision serving no good whatever. It results in an excessive amount of informal voting. Under Hare-Clark voting, informality averages around 4 per cent in contrast to an average of around 11 per cent for Senate elections in Tasmania. Many Tasmanians, who know that marking three preferences is sufficient for a valid vote in State elections, follow this habit when voting in Senate elections, thus making their votes informal. Marking every square is an unreasonable burden. The requirement of compulsory numbering of all candidates is offensive psychologically because it compels the elector to express preferences for opponents to his own party or for candidates whom he may despise. An elector should be free to vote for as few or as many candidates as wishes. To force an elector to vote for candidates he does not want, in order to support the candidates he prefers, is a serious infringement of voting freedom. This infringement may sometimes alter election results. Each elector is given, in effect, a single vote. Once this vote helps to elect a candidate, it is unnecessary thereafter to examine or consider it. Most ballot papers are never examined beyond the second preference. Roughly speaking, fewer than 15 per cent of the votes are examined beyond the third preference in most elections. Hence, marking a number in every square on the voting paper is a futile effort. |
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Compulsory preference numbering of all candidates means
enforced cross
voting, and could produce results not desired by the electors. The
decision
of an electorate made under conditions of compulsory numbering of all
candidates
could be different from that expressed when electors may choose for
themselves
how many preferences they wish to register.
Compare, for example, the experience revealed by the Hare-Clark system, which requires a minimum marking of only three preferences. In practice, most electors under Hare-Clark vote for the candidates of their own party, and then stop. One effect is that independent and minority party candidates in Hare-Clark elections must poll almost a quota of primary votes to win elections. If voters were required against their will, to number all candidates, the effect in past elections would have been to elect some independents who were not, in fact, able to reach quotas under existing conditions. If supporters of minority party candidates are numerous enough to elect a senator, they are justly entitled to the seat. But if the seat is won by preferences obtained compulsorily from major parties, the minority party obtains more representation than it should. A second defect in Senate voting, especially as seen in Mainland elections, is the practice of the political parties in advising their supporters to vote in a regimented 1-2-3, down-the-ticket fashion. Under Hare-Clark elections it is interesting to note in contrast that Tasmanian parties do not endeavour to dragoon their supporters into voting in a prescribed order. Consequently, Tasmanians exercise their judgment and choose between candidates in State elections. Candidates owe their election, therefore, to the support they receive from the electors, not to their position on the ballot paper. Elections under Hare-Clark conditions are consequently more healthy and real, resulting in better representation of the voters and higher prestige for elected members. In the party-regimented Senate elections of the Mainland, electors become conditioned to party tickets, and the individuality of Senate candidates is largely lost. |
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There are two major faults in the way the proportional
representation
system is applied in Senate elections.
The first is due to the party regimentation of voters through how-to-vote cards. The big parties can actually hurt their chances by such cards, because in a normal five-vacancy poll, concentration on a No. 1 candidate can distort the total vote and help a minority party. The second fault is the compulsion on the voter to fill in a preference for every candidate. This is unnecessary and mainly futile. Basically, the proportional representation system is sound and fair. It has eliminated the grossly lop sided, violently-fluctuating "all or none'' of the former preferential block system. That system once produced a lone Labor Senator and 35 non-Labor members. And in 1946, 33 Labor Senators were returned with an Opposition of only three. In the last election the compulsory marking of all preferences made the informal vote shockingly high in all States. Once again, the parties regimented the electors with numbered how-to-vote cards. In Victoria, the election showed that such regimentation could distort the electors' wishes. For example, although the DLP did not win any of the six Senate seats, Mr. Little, DLP candidate, would have been elected if there had been only the usual five vacancies. |
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Some constitutional provisions, like staggered Senate
elections every
three years, increase the likelihood of deadlocks with the lower House,
but much improvement in other directions can be achieved without
constitutional
amendments.
It would be a major advance to abolish compulsory numbering of preferences for all candidates. This compulsion serves no good and produces a crop of evils. 1. It causes excessive informal voting. Informality in Senate elections often runs to 10 per cent and sometimes higher. Ireland has used a similar PR system since 1923. But informality is around 1 per cent - mainly because an Irishman need mark only one preference. In Tasmania a system and ballot-paper largely similar to the Senate method are used for electing the State's House of Assembly. Voters have to mark a minimum of three preferences. Informality is gene rally around 4 per cent or 1ess. 2. Compulsory numbering of all candidates is offensive psychologically. It compels the elector to express preferences even for candidates he may despise. To force an elector to vote for candidates he doesn't want in order to support those he favours is a deplorable infringement of voting freedom. When an elector can vote for as many or as few candidates as he pleases, voting becomes a meaningful selective process, not a mathematical exercise. In counting, most ballot-papers are never examined beyond the second preference, and fewer than 15 per cent are examined beyond the third preference in most 5-vacancy elections. Hence, fully marking a ballot-paper is largely futile. 3. Compulsory numbering of all candidates means enforced cross-party voting and could produce results not desired by the electors. Most Tasmanians in their State elections vote for the candidates of their own party and then stop. So Independent and minority party candidates pick up very few preference from supporters of the major parties. If voters had had to number all candidates some Independents not able to reach quotas under existing conditions would have been elected. If supporters of minority party candidates are numerous enough to elect a Senator, he is justly entitled to the seat. |
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Showing an extraordinary quirk of the Commonwealth Senate
voting-counting
system, and incidentally supplying political party managers with
headachey
future problems in advising voters about the most effective order of
preference,
this article is the work of Mr. George Howatt.
He is an American student of Australian electoral methods, a former Fulbright Scholar working at present in the University of Tasmania. In the recent federal election there happened to be an extra Senate vacancy to be filled for Victoria. This meant that six places were to be filled, instead of the customary five. The upshot was that the ALP won three seats, the LCP the other three, and DLP candidate, Mr. Little, not running into a place. But had the situation been as usual, with only five candidates to be elected, Mr. Little, instead of running seventh and failing to get one of the six seats, could have run fifth, and won one of the five seats'. However, as Mr. Howatt shows in his second illustration, a different distribution of ALP first preferences - spreading them over the three candidates, instead of concentrating them on Labor's top candidate - could still have kept Mr. Little out. At first sight, it is hard to swallow the likelihood of a candidate's vote standing him in better stead when there are fewer seats to be won. But in Tasmania, electoral experts have special knowledge of the vagaries of the Hare-Clark system of Proportional Representation, as used in federal elections for the Senate since the Chifley Labor Government introduced the system in 1949. |
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For the Hare-Clark PR system has been used in state elections there for more than half a century. Mr. Howatt submitted his curious analysis to two top men in the electoral business, both of whom agreed that it was wholly correct. | |
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These figures below show how Mr. Little, in the November 1958
federal
election DLP Senate candidate in Victoria, would in fact have been
elected
if five Senators instead of six had been chosen in that State.
In the examples it is sufficient to illustrate by showing only the last stage of the count, when the percentages of votes received by the various parties after the distribution of preferences would be approximately as follows: ALP, 43.0 per cent; DLP, 12.9 per cent; and LCP, 44.1 per cent. In the example, these percentages are expressed as whole numbers to facilitate understanding. The five-seat quota of 16.7 per cent, becomes 167 votes. In Illustration A, therefore, the ALP with 430 votes (i.e. 43.0 per cent would fill two quotas of 167 votes (16.7 per cent) and have a remainder of 96 votes resting with its third candidate, Senator Sandford. The LCP with 441 votes (44.1 per cent) would fill two quotas and have a remainder of 107 votes to the credit of Senator Hannan. As Mr. Little of the DLP would have 129 votes (12.9 per cent) he would be ahead of the ALP candidate and win election, as shown below. Illustration A: Mr. Little is elected - because the major parties regiment their supporters into concentrating their primaries by voting 1, 2, 3, down their respective party tickets. Thus:- ALP, 430 votes
DLP, 129 votes
LCP, 441 votes
As both Sandford, ALP, and Hannan, LCP, would have fewer votes than Little, DLP, either Sandford or Hannan (in this case, Sandford) would be eliminated, and Mr. Little would receive the preferences and be elected. On the other hand, if the ALP and LCP do not waste their vote by concentrating it on their No. 1 and No. 2 candidates, Mr. Little becomes lowest on the poll and is eliminated, his preferences electing Senator Hannan, LCP, on the basis of illustrative figures shown. |
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Illustration B: Mr. Little is not elected - because in
this
example the primary vote of the major parties is spread over several
candidates,
as normally could be the case under unregimented conditions. Election
results
with the same party vote totals as above, but under the unregimented
conditions
illustrated, are as follows:-
ALP, 430
votes
DLP, 129 votes
LCP, 441 votes
As spreading the vote conserves the strength of the major parties, Mr. Little becomes lowest on the poll, resulting in his elimination and the transfer of his preferences, which elect Hannan, LCP. In the absence of regimentation of voters, as seen in State elections in Tasmania and other places using a system similar to the Senate PR. method, a natural spreading of the No. 1 vote and preferences takes place. In Illustration B the variations in the spreading could be considerably greater than shown without the lowest major party candidate falling below Mr. Little. In this election (Nov. 22, 1958) both the ALP and LCP placed the DLP next in preference after their own candidates. |
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LIKE SHEEP
This potential misrepresentation becomes more serious when combined with the unfortunate practice by political parties of endeavouring to regiment their supporters into voting, in sheep-like fashion, 1-2-3 down the paper. Though practised universally in Mainland Senate elections, regimented voting has scarcely occurred in Tasmanian Hare-Clark contests. Under Hare-Clark voting, candidates therefore owe their election to the support they win from the electors, not to the order in which they are listed on the ballot-paper. Many evils come from regimented voting, but for the moment let us consider how it could, in fact, change what election results otherwise might be. The possibility of obtaining different election results from the same election figures arises in cases when no party (or independent candidate) has enough votes of its own to fill the last quota in a multi-member electorate. One of several such illustrations from the last Senate election occurred in Tasmania, where the fifth Senate seat (and 20 per cent of Tasmania's available Senate representation) was won by a candidate who polled only 11.6 per cent of the total primary vote. In this contest, after four seats were filled, Mr. Devitt ( ALP) had 15,507 votes to his credit, Mr. Orchard (Lib.) 16,326, and Dr. Turnbull (Ind.) 21,448. As Mr. Devitt was recorded as having the smallest vote, he was excluded and his papers divided between Orchard and Turnbull according to the preferences compulsorily indicated on them. Yet at the stage before Devitt's exclusion the Labor group had a total of 68,189 votes, the Liberals 69,608, and Turnbull 21,448. Suppose the party totals had been divided equally between the three candidates of each party then each Labor candidate would have had 22,929 votes and each Liberal candidate 23,202. Under these conditions, Dr. Turnbull, having only 21,448 votes would have been the lowest candidate and therefore eliminated, his preferences deciding the fifth seat. An exact spreading of the vote among the major party candidates would not have been needed in order to keep them ahead of Dr. Turnbull during the cut-up, provided the spread was sufficient to keep each of their candidates ahead of Turnbull's total. STRENGTH WASTED Under unregimented Hare-Clark voting the electors freely distribute both their primaries and preferences, over a wide choice of candidates. As a result, a natural spreading of primaries and preferences generally occurs. This also incidentally helps the major parties to retain their electoral strength during the cut-up, as can be seen from past Hare-Clark elections. |
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For example, in 1928 in Denison, Mr. Mahoney, Ind. Labor
candidate,
polled 75.3 per cent of a quota in primaries but was not elected
because
the votes of the major parties (which polled respectively 40.9 and 40.4
per cent of the primary vote) were well spread, and because Mr. Mahoney
did not pick up many preferences.
In the recent Senate election, because of different voting and vote-counting conditions Dr. Turnbull was able to win a seat though obtaining only 69.4 per cent of a quota of first preferences (i.e. 11.6 per cent of the total vote). Under regimented voting, a party wastes its voting strength by electing its No. 1 and No. 2 candidates with full quotas early in the count. This leaves fewer votes for their No. 3 candidate, who therefore could be forced into elimination unnecessarily in instances when his party lacks three full- quotas. The basic principles of the Senate PR system are excellent and
result
in incomparably more representative Senates than the previous "one in,
all in", system which not only denied minority representation but
grossly
distorted the representation of the major parties. Nevertheless some
corrections
in applying the basic principles are needed.
He observed that Dr. Turnbull "made the grade into the Senate on his not very impressive primary poll" of 11.6 per cent, but that Senator McManus "knocking on the door of a theoretical quota" by obtaining 14.1 per cent of the primary vote in Victoria is defeated. In NSW, however, the D.L.P. with merely 7.9 per cent of the primary vote, almost won a seat, the correspondent reported. Two features of the Tasmanian Hare-Clark voting could remove these anomalies, as illustrated by the Senate election in Tasmania. First, under the Hare-Clark conditions the extension of preferences beyond a minimum of three is voluntary, not compulsory. |
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If applied to Senate voting, optional extension would reduce
informality,
shorten greatly the counting process, and spare many electors the
resentment
they feel in having to give preferences to candidates they may
disfavour
or despise.
The present requirement to mark all preferences in Senate elections can also misrepresent the intention of electors. OFFENSIVE For example, when Mr. Devitt (the third ALP candidate) was excluded, his supporters were compelled to show a preference either for their chief political rivals, the Liberals, or for a former Labor Minister now competing against their party. Forcing electors to choose between candidates, none of whom they may like, offends against voting freedom, and, in addition, can potentially alter the election results intended by the voters. This potential misrepresentation is sharply increased if the major parties try to regiment their supporters into voting sheep-like, 1-2-3 down the ballot-paper. This unfortunate practice in Senate elections is the rule on the mainland and is frequent in Tasmania. Since regimentation does not occur under Hare-Clark voting, the electors vote freely, picking and choosing candidates in the order they want. FAIRER This free selection by the voters in Hare-Clark elections results in a natural spreading of primaries and preferences over all of a party's candidates, as seen in past elections. Spreading the vote also incidentally helps the major parties to maintain their electoral strength. during the cut-up, thus giving a fairer reflection of public opinion and reducing the likelihood of the anomalies noted by the Canberra, correspondent. Let us consider how unregimented voting and the resultant spreading of the vote could produce different election results from the same election figures. |
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An illustration is given by the Senate results in Tasmania,
where the
fifth seat (and 20 per cent. of the State's representation) was won by
a candidate polling only 11.6 per cent of the total primary vote.
DIFFERENCE In this election, after four seats were filled, Mr. Devitt (ALP) had 15,507 votes to his credit, Mr. Orchard (Lib.) 16,326, and Dr. Turnbull (Ind.) 21,448. As Mr. Devitt was recorded as having the smallest vote, he was excluded, and his papers divided between Orchard and Turnbull, according to the preferences compulsorily indicated on them. Yet at the stage before Devitt's exclusion the Labor group had a total of 68,789 votes, the Liberals 69,608, and Turnbull 21,448. Suppose the party totals had been divided equally between the three candidates of each party -then each Labor candidate would have had 22,929 votes and each Liberal candidate 23,202. Under these conditions Dr. Turnbull, having only 21,448 would have been the lowest candidate and therefore eliminated, his preferences deciding the fifth seat. An exact spreading of the vote among the major party candidates would not have been needed to keep them ahead of Dr. Turnbull during the cut-up, provided the spread was sufficient to keep all other candidates ahead of Turnbull's total. Under regimented voting a party wastes its voting strength by electing its No. 1. and No. 2 candidates with full quotas early in the count. This leaves fewer votes for their No. 3 candidate, who therefore could be forced into elimination unnecessarily in cases when his party lacks three full quotas. An example illustrating the effect of spreading the vote can be seen in Denison in the State elections of 1928. Then Mr. Mahoney, Ind. Labor candidate, polled 75.3 per cent of a quota in primaries but was not elected because the votes for the major parties (40.9 and 40.4 per cent respectively) were widely spread and because Mr. Mahoney did not pick up many preferences. |
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CHANGES NEEDED
In the recent Senate election as a result of different voting and vote-counting conditions, Dr. Turnbull was able to win a seat through obtaining only 69.4 per cent of a quota of first preferences (11.6 per cent of the total vote). The basic principles of voting by proportional representation for the Senate are sound and desirable, and far superior to the previous "all or none" system of preferential, block voting. But if complaints about anomalies such as those cited by the Canberra correspondent are to be eliminated, some corrections in applying the basic principles are needed. |
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Once again the demonstrated advantages of the Hare-Clark
system can
make Tasmanians feel proud that their State pioneered the adoption of
this
special electoral method.
Comparing the Tasmanian model with other methods reveals its many superiorities. First, a uniquely wide choice of candidates: No other electoral system in the world provides the voter with such a broad selection of candidates. In the recent election each voter was offered eight or nine candidates to choose from in each major party, not to mention smaller parties or independents. This wide range thus gave the Tasmanian elector not only a choice of parties, but also a choice of candidates within parties. Unless given this selection within parties, voters may not be able to express their true judgment, as seen in the single-member electorates used generally in the other States, where normally only one candidate is allowed to stand for each competing party. There, in the absence of the many choices available to Tasmanians, the elector must accept, whether to his liking or not, this sole pre-selected choice of his party's organization, or else vote for a candidate of another party with whose policies he may not agree. With only one endorsement per electorate, a party can hardly expect to satisfy a wide range of opinion within it, especially where, in a two-party system, each party attempts to represent a broad spectrum of views. This invidious situation, inherent to single-member electorates, is further compounded if those empowered to pre-select for their party are not well representative of the whole of a party's supporters. By contrast, since multiple endorsements are essential to the Hare-Clark system, party pre-selection authorities have little excuse for not offering their supporters a balanced selection of candidates. |
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Second, minority representation:
The possibility under the Hare-Clark system for presenting balanced teams of candidates is likely to supply the electors with satisfying representation within a two-party framework. Nevertheless, for those voters who may want different representation, the Hare-Clark system provides ready opportunity for minority representation, by ensuring that any group of electors as large as a quota of votes, namely, a fraction as small as 12.5 per cent of the electorate, may win a seat. By contrast, the single-member system, by restricting the selection of candidates, creates the need for more satisfying representation yet prevents it from being achieved, since the system provides only one vacancy per electorate, not seven. Third, a strong Opposition: Election by quota guarantees that a party must receive one seat for each 12.5 per cent of the vote which it receives. Hence, a party polling as low as 37.5 per cent of the vote will obtain three seats in a seven-member electorate. In a House of 35 members an Opposition is therefore not likely to fall below about 15 seats in a two-party situation. By contrast, since the single-member system does not ensure any necessary relationship between votes received and seats won, an Opposition party may be reduced to far below its fair share of the seats on a proportionate basis, as seen at present in the Queensland Parliament and the Federal House of Representatives. Fourth, assurance of majority rule: The Hare-Clark system as now applied guarantees a close relationship between votes received and seats won, because members are elected on equal quotas from multi-member electorates. This high degree of accuracy is likely to result in a party with a majority at the polls receiving a majority in Parliament. This likelihood could be made a certainty by the adoption of a few refinements in the counting procedure. |
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These refinements, summarized by the writer in a series of
articles
on these pages before the 1972 State elections, would guarantee that a
party with a State-wide majority would invariably receive a majority in
Parliament, and usually one of workable size.
The single-member system, by contrast, may result in a party with a minority of votes receiving a majority of seats or in the governing party holding onto office by razor-thin majorities, as illustrated as present by the Parliaments of South Australia, New South Wales, and Great Britain. Fifth, other advantages: Too numerous to list here are a multitude of other advantages which the Hare-Clark system can provide, for instance, eliminating safe seats and uncontested elections and reducing greatly the dangers of gerrymandering. |
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