PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION ANALYSIS
2001 POLLS FOR 50TH LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF QUEENSLAND
Estimated No. of PR (Hare-Clark) Seats in possible multi-member divisions
Copyright Proportional Representation Society of Australia 1998: 18 Anita Street, Beaumaris 3193. Tel. +61395891802, +61429176725  Fax  +61395891680  www.prsa.org.au  ggd@netspace.net.au        Final WAEC data, from www.ecq.qld.gov.au
Summary:  Click on a table showing that the re-elected Beattie ALP Government gained 48.9 % of first preference votes (some 1.1% short of an absolute majority), yet it gained 74.2 % of the single-member seats. For the former Coalition opposition parties, the percentages of first preference votes gained were Liberals 14.3% and Nationals 14.2%, yet their respective shares of seats were, bizarrely, 3.4% and 13.5%

This unjust imbalance would not apply under a Hare-Clark proportional representation electoral system. It would have produced a majority ALP Government, with 53.9% of the seats, and the Liberals would have gained 14.6% and the Nationals 15.7% of the Hare-Clark PR seats. Such a Government would have been quite stable, as vacancies due to death or resignation are filled by a countback of the ballot-papers from a Hare-Clark general election. Countback would have saved the cost and 3-month delay of a Surfers Paradise by-election poll, yet let voters decide a prompt, fair replacement for Opposition Leader Rob Borbidge who, on election night, said he would resign that seat he had just won.

Graph:  Click on a graph of the various parties' percentage of the vote, which illustrates the statements above.

Details of the 11 Multi-member PR Districts: Click on details to see the PR districts, the votes in each, and the seats possibly won. The ALP vote was particularly concentrated in the innermost suburbs of Brisbane. In the three 9-member Hare-Clark multi-member districts suggested closest to central Brisbane, which make up over 30% of the Parliament, the ALP's 57.7% of the first preference vote won it 100% of the seats. The PRSA’s Hare-Clark analysis showed that this large and diverse area of Queensland’s capital city, in which 42.3% of voters gave their first preference vote to a non-ALP candidate, would have elected 17 ALP members (surely enough to make the point of the ALP Government’s dominance), 7 Liberals, 1 Green, 1 National, and 1 Independent MLA. Instead, the ALP won all those 27 contiguous districts.

Of the 89 seats overall, only 79 seats had more than 2 candidates, and 42 were won without an absolute majority of first preference votes, i.e. an absolute majority of voters in each of those 42 seats voted for candidates other than the candidate elected. Click on the distribution of candidates per seat to observe the restricted choice offered to voters, where in nearly two-thirds of cases there were four or fewer candidates per electoral district. Only 52 of the 89 seats available attracted more than 3 candidates. In contrast, even the smallest envisaged multi-member Hare-Clark district had 9 candidates.