Proportional Representation Society of Australia

 

www.prsa.org.au

 

PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION ANALYSIS

 

1998 POLLS FOR 49TH LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF QUEENSLAND

 

Estimated No. of PR (Hare-Clark) Seats in possible multi-member divisions

 

Click on a blue hyperlink of interest.

 

Copyright Proportional Representation Society of Australia 1998:   18 Anita Street, Beaumaris 3193. Tel. +61395891802, +61429176725 www.prsa.org.au     info@prsa.org.au        Final ECQ data, from www.ecq.qld.gov.au

 

Summary Table: Click on this table, which shows that the new Beattie ALP Government, plus its one Independent supporter, jointly gained only 40.48% of first preference votes, yet they gained 50.56% of the single-member seats. The table shows that this unjust imbalance would not apply under a Hare-Clark proportional representation electoral system, where the seats for ALP, Greens and both Independents jointly would be only 46.06%.

Graph: Click on the graph of the various parties’ percentage of the vote, which illustrates the statement above.

The percentage of NPA-Liberal Hare-Clark seats (32.58%) would have allowed that coalition to continue governing as long as at least 16 of the 19 MLAs of the One Nation Party (ONP), which party would hold the remainder of the seats (21.35%), voted against no-confidence motions, as the 28 Coalition MLAs other than the Speaker and those 16 One Nation MLAs would together hold 44 of the 88 seats on the floor of Parliament. That is enough, with the Speaker's casting vote, to defeat a motion of no-confidence.

Alternatively, for the ALP to force a change of government under Hare-Clark with the vote it gained, 6 other MLAs would have to support it. With Hare-Clark casual vacancies filled by countback of general election ballot-papers, as for the Tasmanian and ACT Assemblies, the predictable party continuity lets Governments last full term.

Details of the 11 Multi-member PR Districts: Click on details to see the PR districts, the votes in each, and the seats possibly won.

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